China and India will stop Iran! both are biggest traders in…, how will USA play BIG role in it?

US strikes on Iran’s three main nuclear facilities have once again raised concerns that Tehran might shut down the Strait of Hormuz – one of the world’s most critical chokepoints, through which a fifth of global oil and gas supply flows.

For India, the Strait of Hormuz is important as about 2 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil out of its total import of 5.5 million bpd transits through the narrow waterway. 

How Will It Impact Iran?

However some of the experts are finding this move a threat for Iran. A narrow maritime corridor sees nearly 20 million barrels of oil transit daily. It is critical not only for Iran’s adversaries but also for its allies, including China and India.

While a disruption could occur temporarily, closing the strait will hamper Iran’s economy significantly. He emphasized that Iran is dependent on fuel imports, including gasoline. Shutting down Hormuz will weaken Iran’s military and economic strength.

China: Iran’s Largest Oil Buyer

China, as Iran’s largest trading partner and top oil buyer, plays influential role in this scenario. Completely closing the Strait of Hormuz will affect China’s energy security and disrupt key supply routes under the Belt and Road Initiative like the rail line from Xi’an to Tehran, which is crucial for strengthening trade. Any regional conflict that cuts off oil supplies and derails logistics is not in Beijing’s interest. India finds itself in a similar position.

An analyst noted that while China may not publicly oppose Tehran’s statements, it would likely use its economic leverage behind the scenes. If Hormuz were to be blocked, China would be the first to suffer. Pipelines bypassing Hormuz from Saudi Arabia and the UAE might offer limited alternatives, but their capacities are restricted. The U.S. has increased energy exports and become a backup supplier.

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